Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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49

Ivan Barbashev

Vegas Golden Knights Left Wing

Twenty-three goals on 111 shots — a 20.7 per cent conversion — and a plus-26.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17STL305712+520012025.011:47
2017-18STL537613-140014515.612:12
2018-19STL80141226-4170216023.311:31
2019-20STL69111526+4230227514.713:27
2020-21STL385712+561014311.613:21
2021-22STL81263460+44041211123.416:26
2022-23STL/VGK82162945+14220212612.716:45
2023-24VGK82192645+154230312215.616:07
2024-25VGK70232851+261020311120.716:48
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—585126164290+551861251671317.714:38

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 goals and 28 assists in 70 games — 51 points at 16:48 a night, plus-26, with 3 game-winners on 111 shots, converting at 20.7 per cent, and 10 penalty minutes.

53.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 74th percentile. His ice went 61-40 against an expectation of 48.33-41.52 — thirteen goals of scoring missing, on a first line that was creating at a very high rate.

The Finesse Game

111 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20 and only 10 per cent from beyond 40. He shoots from the house and almost nowhere else, and 20.7 per cent is the highest conversion of anybody on the club.

28 assists in 70 games from a first-line winger is honest production. The hands are ordinary; he arrives in the right place because he wins the puck first.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 203 and he forechecks as hard as anybody on this roster. He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move off possession.

10 penalty minutes in 70 games is a remarkable total for a player who plays this way. He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to have to foul — on the club that spent the least time shorthanded in the league.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2014 and 585 games and 290 points, with a Stanley Cup in St. Louis in 2019 and another here in 2023.

He is 29. He was acquired at the 2023 deadline and scored 18 points in 22 playoff games on the way to the Cup.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.14 penalty minutes a game over 70, 8th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:51 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “**111 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20 and only 10 per cent from beyond 40.** He shoots from the house and almost nowhere else, and 20.7 per cent is the highest conversion of anybody on the club.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “**6-0 and 203 and he forechecks as hard as anybody on this roster.** He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move off possession.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move off possession.”

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He finishes checks, he wins pucks below the goal line, and he is difficult to move off possession.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**10 penalty minutes in 70 games** is a remarkable total for a player who plays this way. He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to have to foul — on the club that spent the least time shorthanded in the league.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,040 minutes

Expected goals
53.8%
84th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
54th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 61 for, 40 against. Expected: 48.3 and 41.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
88th
Numbers
84th

The two rank him within 4 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 70 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.64 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.71 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.3 mph
92nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1040 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
VGK took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.8% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,040 minutes at five-on-five — 67th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jack Eichel53.6%54.5%58.0%
Mark Stone53.0%54.5%60.8%
Shea Theodore51.3%55.5%55.6%

53.6% together, 54.5% for him apart and 58.0% for Eichel apart. Eichel was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

176 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 10% from beyond forty.