Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Isaac Howard

Photo by Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

Isaac Howard

Edmonton Oilers Left Wing #53

A Hobey Baker winner in his first professional season, small and skilled, with everything still ahead of him.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2025-26EDM29235-612000365.610:19
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—29235-612000365.610:19

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 5 points in 29 games as a rookie, on 10 minutes a night — fourth-line minutes and almost no power play, which is the normal first chapter for a 21-year-old winger.

The Finesse Game

The skill is real and it is why Edmonton wanted him. He has quick hands in tight, a fast release, and the ability to change speeds in a small area that lets a smaller forward create room for himself. At Michigan State he was the best player in college hockey, and that does not happen by accident.

What has not translated yet is production against men, which is unsurprising given the ice time. The chances he generated last season were mostly off the rush; the below-the-dots, cycle-and-net-front part of a professional game is the piece still to be built.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 180, and he will be tested every night until he adds strength. He is not shy — he goes to the middle of the ice and takes hits to make plays — but he loses puck battles he would have won in college, which is the standard adjustment for a player his size.

The Intangibles

He was the 31st pick in 2022 and came to Edmonton from Tampa, and he arrives on a team where a young skilled winger can be given time because the top of the lineup is already there.

The read is patience. The tools are top-9 tools, the college résumé is as good as it gets, and none of that tells you whether he ends up a scorer or a tweener. This year and next will.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 288 minutes

Expected goals
43.3%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
44.3%
9th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 8 for, 14 against. Expected: 10.0 and 13.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
8th

The report ranks him 65 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 29 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
85th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.66 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.70 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
82.9 mph
36th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

2

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 2 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 288 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
EDM took 51.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.3% — 8.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 288 minutes at five-on-five — 5th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matt Savoie44.4%42.1%51.2%
Darnell Nurse42.8%43.7%49.7%
Jack Roslovic51.9%36.9%50.8%

44.4% together, 42.1% for him apart and 51.2% for Savoie apart. Savoie was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

56 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.