Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

56

Erik Haula

New Jersey Devils Left Wing

The 20th-fastest top speed of 365 forwards at 31, with a plus-19 and eleven goals of finishing surplus on his ice.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14MIN466915+14290115610.710:09
2014-15MIN727714-732101927.612:09
2015-16MIN76142034+21240229914.112:44
2016-17MIN72151126+52810413411.213:49
2017-18VGK76292655-1637110417516.617:22
2018-19VGK15257+110000267.716:35
2019-20CAR/FLA48121224+1224029213.015:50
2020-21NSH5191221+4141228510.616:00
2021-22BOS78182644+194720314112.815:06
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—534112128240+422432051990012.414:17

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 26 assists in seventy-eight games for Boston at 15:06 a night, plus-19, forty-seven penalty minutes. Nine seasons, 534 games, 240 points.

One hundred and eighty-second overall in 2009 and 534 NHL games out of it, across five clubs.

The Finesse Game

2.30 even-strength points per 60 is the 76th percentile and only nine per cent of his points came on the power play — this is an even-strength producer and nothing else.

7.19 shots per 60 is the 48th at 12.8 per cent, 51 per cent from the slot at a 24-foot median. Ordinary in every direction.

53.6 per cent of the expected goals is the 77th percentile. His ice went 52-31 against an expectation of 41.04-35.52 — eleven goals of finishing surplus going forward and four fewer against than the model asked. That is where the plus-19 came from, and none of it repeats.

1.07 giveaways per 60 is the 22nd percentile.

The Physical Game

6.57 hits per 60 is the 74th percentile at 5-11 and 191 — he initiates far more than his size suggests.

1.07 penalties taken per 60 is the 82nd percentile against 0.82 drawn, and the net is the 19th. Forty-seven penalty minutes in seventy-eight games is the cost.

The Intangibles

23.5 mph is the 20th-fastest top speed of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, at 31 years old. 10.07 miles per 60 is the 87th percentile — he is genuinely fast and genuinely working, which almost nobody at 31 in this edition is.

A 44-point third-line winger whose plus-19 was fifteen goals of percentage. The skating and the even-strength rate are real; the plus-minus is Boston’s, and he is joining a club whose crease gave back forty-three goals against expectation.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “23.5 mph is the 20th-fastest top speed of the 365 forwards the tracking covers, at 31 years old.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “One hundred and eighty-second overall in 2009 and 534 NHL games out of it, across five clubs.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,022 minutes

Expected goals
53.6%
80th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 31 against. Expected: 41.0 and 35.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
74th
Numbers
80th

The two rank him within 6 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 78 games

Top speed
23.5 mph
96th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.73 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.53 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.1 mph
55th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with BOS · 1022 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
BOS took 56.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.6% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,022 minutes at five-on-five — 65th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Taylor Hall55.3%51.6%59.2%
David Pastrnak56.2%51.1%60.9%
Brandon Carlo48.4%56.3%53.9%

55.3% together, 51.6% for him apart and 59.2% for Hall apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Hall and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

180 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.