Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Owen Power

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Owen Power

Buffalo Sabres Defense #25

1st overall, 6-6, 1,500 minutes, and 29 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22BUF8213+320001020.022:05
2022-23BUF7943135+10240011303.123:48
2023-24BUF7662733+8280011085.622:55
2024-25BUF7973340-13161001395.021:19
2025-26BUF8182129+9160001206.721:39
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—32327113140+17861025075.322:24

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 21 assists in 81 games, plus-9, at 21:39 a night. 1,514 5-on-5 minutes, more than any player on the roster.

The Finesse Game

For a man of his dimensions the skating is genuinely good — long, easy strides that eat ice without looking quick. He can walk the puck out of his own end and he rarely panics under a forecheck.

The production is the disappointment. 29 points from a 1st overall pick playing top-pair minutes in his fourth full season is a modest return, and the shot is not going to add to it: 61 per cent of his attempts from beyond 40 feet, median 47, 8 goals.

He makes the right pass. He does not often make the one that breaks a defence.

The Physical Game

6-6, 226, and 16 penalty minutes in 81 games. That is the report in a single number. He defends with reach and position and almost never uses his size to end a play or clear a man from the crease.

For a defenceman built like this, that is the gap between what he is and what he could be.

The Intangibles

The on-ice results are respectable and unremarkable: 50.5 per cent of the expected goals, 58th percentile, with the goals 65-56 in his favour on the heaviest workload here.

He is 23, which is the fair defence — defencemen mature late and 323 games at his age is a lot. But the first pick in a draft is supposed to become something, and 4 seasons in, the something has not arrived. No points in his last 10 games.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.20 penalty minutes a game over 81, 7th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,514 minutes

Expected goals
50.5%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.4%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 56 against. Expected: 61.9 and 60.8.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
38th
Numbers
59th

The numbers rank him 21 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
76th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.52 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.15 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.9 mph
65th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

3

points in his last 10 games — 0 goals, 3 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1514 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
BUF took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.5% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,514 minutes at five-on-five — 98th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Bowen Byram49.5%51.1%49.2%
Alex Tuch55.6%48.1%50.7%
Tage Thompson50.4%50.5%50.5%

49.5% together, 51.1% for him apart and 49.2% for Byram apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

165 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 37 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 61% from beyond forty.