Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

4

Cole Sillinger

Columbus Blue Jackets Center

33 points, a minus-11, and a 44.6 per cent chance share in his fourth NHL season at 22.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22CBJ79161531-223700314810.813:42
2022-23CBJ643811-2322200933.213:19
2023-24CBJ77131932-4461011578.316:07
2024-25CBJ66112233-11352121298.516:55
2025-26 so far
Career2864364107-601405165278.215:00

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 22 assists in 66 games for 33 points, minus-11, on 16:55 a night.

44.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 12th percentile. His on-ice goals were 42-41 against an expected 29-36, which is 13 goals of finishing luck turning a badly outplayed season into something close to even.

The Finesse Game

Solid without being dangerous. 129 shots and 11 goals at 8.5 per cent, and the release is ordinary; 22 assists is the more useful half and he moves the puck sensibly.

He was in the NHL at 18, which distorted the development, and the offensive game has not grown much since. There is no obvious skill here that will produce a 50-point season.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 202, and he plays a heavy, honest game. He forechecks with weight, wins pucks below the goal line, and is difficult to move off a puck.

35 penalty minutes over 66 games. The durability has been reasonable and the body suits the role he is heading toward.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who arrived at 18 out of necessity on a club that had nobody else, and has spent four seasons being asked to be more than he is.

At 22 the ceiling looks like a third-line centre who kills penalties and takes hard draws, which is useful. The 12th-percentile chance share needs to move before he can be given more.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 835 minutes

Expected goals
44.6%
13th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.1%
12th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 42 for, 41 against. Expected: 28.9 and 35.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
53rd
Numbers
13th

The report ranks him 40 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 835 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CBJ took 48.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.6% — 3.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 835 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Zach Werenski43.7%45.2%54.1%
Mathieu Olivier47.2%42.9%48.1%
Ivan Provorov49.1%42.0%47.7%

43.7% together, 45.2% for him apart and 54.1% for Werenski apart. Werenski was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

174 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 36% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.