Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Cole Caufield

Photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0

Cole Caufield

Montréal Canadiens Right Wing #13

5-8, and he just scored 51 goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2020-21MTL10415-120023013.313:58
2021-22MTL67232043-241050318812.216:41
2022-23MTL46261036-10270315816.518:03
2023-24MTL82283765-4169073148.919:25
2024-25MTL82373370+914100824015.418:05
2025-26MTL81513788+29141101225819.818:11
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—368169138307-15842035118814.218:02

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

51 goals and 88 points in 81 games on 258 shots, plus-29, 11 on the power play. 50 goals from a player this size, in this era, is a genuinely rare thing.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the entire argument and it is one of the two or three best in the league. It is not the heaviest — it is the quickest. He changes the puck’s angle with his hands rather than his feet and releases it before a goaltender has finished setting, from spots where nobody is expecting a shot to come.

The other half is where he goes. He finds the soft ice between a defenceman and a winger, holds still while the play develops, and appears at the back post at the exact moment the seam opens. That is a learned skill and he has gotten better at it every season.

He is not a playmaker and does not pretend to be. 37 assists on a line with 100-point centre is about right.

The Physical Game

5-8 and 175, and there is no physical component to his game at all. 14 penalty minutes in a full season describes a player who never engages. He is removed from pucks along the wall by anyone who tries, and he does not go to the interior except to shoot.

That has to be accepted rather than fixed. He scores 50 goals; nobody needs him to win a battle.

The Intangibles

Drafted fifteenth because of his size after scoring at a rate nobody had matched in college, and he has spent 6 years proving the size was the wrong thing to worry about.

He has played 83 percent of his minutes with the same centre for years. That is the one dependency worth naming, and it is a very good problem.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.17 penalty minutes a game over 81, 10th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    54.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.2, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,097 minutes

Expected goals
54.1%
83rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53%
81st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 66 for, 38 against. Expected: 56.3 and 47.9.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
78th
Numbers
83rd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 81 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
67th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.0 mph
69th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

13

points in his last 10 games — 8 goals, 5 assists, 43 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1097 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
MTL took 49.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.1% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,097 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Juraj Slafkovský55.9%52.1%45.5%
Mike Matheson50.6%57.4%44.3%
Noah Dobson51.3%56.7%45.0%

55.9% together, 52.1% for him apart and 45.5% for Slafkovský apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

388 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 57 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.