Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Erik Karlsson

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Erik Karlsson

Pittsburgh Penguins Defense #65

1,159 games, and 66 points at 36.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2009-10OTT6052126-5241001124.520:07
2010-11OTT75133245-30504041827.123:31
2011-12OTT81195978+16423052617.325:19
2012-13OTT176814+88212797.627:09
2013-14OTT82205474-15365012577.827:04
2014-15OTT82214566+7426032927.227:15
2015-16OTT82166682-2501032486.528:58
2016-17OTT77175471+10284052187.826:50
2017-18OTT7195362-25363021964.626:44
2018-19SJS5334245+6222011691.824:29
2019-20SJS5663440-15161101205.024:31
2020-21SJS5281422-18183011107.323:36
2021-22SJS50102535-14140021178.623:28
2022-23SJS822576101-263650420912.025:37
2023-24PIT82114556+4442042135.224:16
2024-25PIT82114253-24202011915.823:14
2025-26PIT75155166+8224001768.523:36
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—1159215721936-1155084823831506.825:07

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

15 goals and 51 assists in 75 games — 66 points, plus-8, at 23:36 a night. His 1,159th career game and his 936th point.

The Finesse Game

The skating is still remarkable at 36 — he changes direction at speed with the puck and escapes forechecks that should have him trapped.

51 assists from a defenceman is a top-3 figure at the position. The shot is a genuine weapon from distance: 289 unblocked attempts, median 50 feet, and 15 goals out of it, which for a point shot is an extraordinary conversion.

721 career assists.

The Physical Game

6 foot even and 185 pounds, and it has always been the criticism. 22 penalty minutes. He does not clear a crease, does not win a net-front battle, and defends entirely by having the puck instead.

The Intangibles

52.3 per cent of the expected goals, 72nd percentile, and 54.0 per cent of the shot attempts, 86th, across 1,291 minutes.

12 points in his last 10, 4 of them goals.

3 Norris Trophies and a career that has been argued about for 15 years. On a Pittsburgh club that finished 4th in the league at generating even-strength offence, he and Letang are both still playing more than 21 minutes at 36 and 39, which is either remarkable or a roster problem depending on what the club thinks it is.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,291 minutes

Expected goals
52.3%
73rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 73 for, 53 against. Expected: 59.8 and 54.5.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
73rd
Numbers
73rd

The two rank him within 0 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 75 games

Top speed
23.7 mph
99th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
2.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.17 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.6 mph
86th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 4 goals, 8 assists, 27 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1291 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
PIT took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.3% — 0.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,291 minutes at five-on-five — 88th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Parker Wotherspoon52.6%50.9%45.6%
Sidney Crosby47.9%55.0%52.2%
Bryan Rust46.4%55.8%49.3%

52.6% together, 50.9% for him apart and 45.6% for Wotherspoon apart. Wotherspoon was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Wotherspoon than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

289 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 44 feet. 7% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.