Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

61

Boris Katchouk

Chicago Blackhawks Left Wing

A 96.6 mph shot at the 86th percentile, on a fourth line, for five goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22TBL/CHI59347-739001585.29:55
2022-23CHI5851116-1027002687.312:05
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—11781523-17660031266.310:60

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 11 assists in 58 games — 16 points at 12:05 a night, minus-10, with 27 penalty minutes on 68 shots at 7.35 per cent.

44.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 616 minutes, the 15th percentile. His ice went 18-29 against an expectation of 20-25.43.

35.5 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 7th percentile.

The Finesse Game

68 attempts at a median of 29 feet, 33 per cent from inside twenty and 28 per cent from beyond forty. Four goals on 21 shots from inside twenty, one from the middle band, none on the twenty he took from beyond forty.

His shot is 96.6 mph, the 86th percentile, which is the interesting number in his file and does him no good at all. Twenty attempts from beyond forty feet with a hard shot produced nothing, which is the same finding this book has now recorded at every velocity from 96 to 101 mph.

8 goals in 117 career games at 6.35 per cent. The hard shot is real and it is not a scoring skill.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 212 with 27 penalty minutes, and 1.86 miles a game at the 10th percentile on twelve-minute nights.

22.0 mph at the 38th and 0.7 bursts at the 36th. There is no speed here and the game is played on the wall, where he is a willing body.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick by Tampa Bay in 2016 who came to Chicago with Taylor Raddysh in the Brandon Hagel trade.

The two arrived together and diverged immediately: Raddysh scored twenty and Katchouk five. He is 25 with 117 games and a fourth-line role on a club that will be handing minutes to teenagers.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    28.0% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 616 minutes

Expected goals
44%
15th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47%
30th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 29 against. Expected: 20.0 and 25.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
12th
Numbers
15th

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 56 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 58 games

Top speed
22.0 mph
46th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.69 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.86 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
96.6 mph
96th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 616 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
CHI took 42.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.0% — 1.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 616 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jujhar Khaira50.2%39.1%42.4%
Joey Anderson46.3%42.6%60.3%
Reese Johnson36.1%47.8%36.7%

50.2% together, 39.1% for him apart and 42.4% for Khaira apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

100 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.