Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Zachary Aston-Reese

Columbus Blue Jackets Left Wing

17 points, a minus-15, and a fourth-line winger who took 48 per cent of his shots from inside 20 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18PIT16426+220012020.011:23
2018-19PIT438917+12260117610.513:39
2019-20PIT576713+628010986.114:25
2020-21PIT459615+10150107911.414:37
2021-22PIT/ANA6951015+928000786.413:02
2022-23TOR7710414-6250028911.210:56
2023-24DET30000200010.05:09
2024-25CBJ7961117-15270011015.913:27
2025-26 so far
Career389484997+181530355428.913:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 11 assists in 79 games for 17 points, minus-15 — the worst rating on the club — on 13:27 a night.

50.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 59th percentile, which is a perfectly reasonable share and sits oddly with the rating. His on-ice goals were 48-37 against an expected 36-35, so the five-on-five results were good; the minus-15 came elsewhere.

The Finesse Game

Limited. 101 shots and 6 goals at 5.9 per cent, and 11 assists — there is no finishing here and never has been.

48 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet, so the locations are right and the hands are not. He is on a roster to defend and to forecheck, and the offence is incidental.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 203, and he plays a hard, honest, physical game. He blocks shots, finishes checks, and is one of the more reliable defensive forwards on the club.

27 penalty minutes over 79 games is disciplined for the style.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Northeastern, five organisations, and an NHL career built on being trusted defensively.

At 31 the projection is unchanged: a fourth-line winger who kills penalties. The minus-15 should not be held against him — the underlying five-on-five play was among the better bottom-six numbers on the roster.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 905 minutes

Expected goals
50.6%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
25th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 37 against. Expected: 36.2 and 35.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
59th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 315 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 905 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CBJ took 48.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 2.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 905 minutes at five-on-five — 46th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mathieu Olivier50.2%51.1%45.0%
Justin Danforth53.5%48.2%45.9%
Zach Werenski56.0%46.7%51.1%

50.2% together, 51.1% for him apart and 45.0% for Olivier apart. Olivier was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Olivier than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

135 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.