This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Victor Mancini
Vancouver Canucks Defense
Two hundred and twenty-nine pounds at 22, a fifth-round pick, and the worst chance share in this chapter.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | NYR/VAN | 31 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 7.4 | 15:18 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 31 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 7.4 | 15:18 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 6 assists in 31 games across New York and Vancouver — 8 points at 15:18 a night, minus-9, with 10 penalty minutes.
40.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 3rd percentile — the worst mark of anybody in this chapter, across 401 minutes. His ice went 15-17 against an expectation of 13.99-20.24, which is a third pairing that conceded a great deal fewer goals than the chances predicted and was still badly outplayed.
The Finesse Game
27 attempts in 31 games at a median of 55 feet with 73 per cent from beyond 40 and 14 per cent from inside 20, which is a high share for a defenceman and says he joins the rush.
6 assists in 31 games. The first pass is simple and the decisions under pressure are the unfinished part, which at 22 is expected.
The Physical Game
6-3 and 229 pounds and among the heaviest defencemen in the league. He clears the front of his own net, he finishes checks that hurt, and he is not moved.
10 penalty minutes in 31 games is a low rate. He is not an agitator and the physicality is structural rather than provocative.
The Intangibles
A fifth-round pick of the Rangers in 2022 out of Omaha, and 31 NHL games in.
He was traded to Vancouver in January with Filip Chytil and a first-round pick for J.T. Miller. He is 23, and on a blue line whose best two men weigh 180 and 190 pounds he is the most interesting body in the system.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 401 minutes
- Expected goals
- 40.9%
- 3rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 39.6%
- 0th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 15 for, 17 against. Expected: 14.0 and 20.2.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2024-25 with NYR · 218 minutes at five-on-five
- Zac Jonesoff the roster50%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- VAN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 40.9% — 8.2 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 401 minutes at five-on-five — 11th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Jones | 43.6% | 39.7% | 47.1% |
| Derek Forbort | 43.0% | 40.3% | 44.4% |
| Filip Chytil | 53.2% | 36.6% | 51.6% |
43.6% together, 39.7% for him apart and 47.1% for Jones apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Jones and did not follow him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
44 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 62 feet. 14% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 73% from beyond forty.