Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
48

Valtteri Puustinen

Pittsburgh Penguins Right Wing

A seventh-round pick with the highest chance share on the club and fifteen assists in 52 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22PIT1011+2000010.010:14
2023-24PIT5251520+46000865.811:45
2024-25 so far
Career5351621+66000875.811:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

52 games, 5 goals and 15 assists for 20 points, none on the power play, 6 penalty minutes, 11:45 a night and plus-4. He took 55.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 540 minutes — the 91st percentile and the highest chance share of anybody on the club — and his ice went 25-19 against an expectation of 24.01-18.95.

Within a goal of the chances at both ends. Fifty-five point nine per cent from a rookie playing eleven minutes a night is the most interesting number on this roster.

The Finesse Game

113 attempts at a median of 31 feet with 29 per cent of them from inside twenty, 85 of those on goal, converted at 5.8 per cent against a career 5.75 across 87 shots.

Fifteen assists against five goals in 52 games. He is a passer before he is a shooter and finds the middle of the ice from the wall better than a fourth-line winger has any need to; three assists for every goal in a first season is either a rate that regresses or a player who has been misfiled.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 180 and took 6 penalty minutes.

Six career penalty minutes in 53 games. He is small, he does not finish checks, and the entire physical question about him is whether he can hold a puck along the wall against men forty pounds heavier for a full season.

The Intangibles

Two hundred and third overall in 2019, a seventh-round pick, two seasons, and 21 points in 53 games.

He was the 203rd man taken in his draft and he led his club in chance share as a 24-year-old rookie. That is worth more attention than 20 points suggests.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 540 minutes

Expected goals
55.9%
91st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52%
72nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 19 against. Expected: 24.0 and 18.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
91st

The numbers rank him 44 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 540 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PIT took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.9% — 4.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 540 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Reilly Smith57.3%54.0%50.7%
Lars Eller56.2%55.5%48.5%
Erik Karlsson57.3%54.8%53.5%

57.3% together, 54.0% for him apart and 50.7% for Smith apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

113 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.