Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

TB

Thomas Bordeleau

San Jose Sharks Center

Four of his six career goals have come on the power play, from 43 games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22SJS8055-10000130.015:35
2022-23SJS8022-3000090.015:14
2023-24SJS276511-18184014812.515:01
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—4361218-2218401708.615:10

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 games, 6 goals and 5 assists for 11 points, 4 on the power play, 18 penalty minutes, 15:01 a night and minus-18, with 1 game-winner. He took 43.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 315 minutes, the 19th percentile, and his ice went 5-18 against an expectation of 11.42-14.93.

Six goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and three more conceded than they called for. Five goals for in 315 minutes of five-on-five hockey is the lowest rate on the club, and a minus-18 in 27 games is very hard to do.

The Finesse Game

73 attempts at a median of 25 feet with 38 per cent of them from inside twenty, 47 of those on goal, converted at 12.5 per cent against a career 8.57 across 70 shots.

Four of his six career goals have come on the power play, from 43 games. He is a skilled, small centre who works below the dots and finds seams that a bigger man would not attempt; almost everything he has produced has come with the extra man.

The Physical Game

He is 5-10 and 180 and took 18 penalty minutes.

Eighteen career penalty minutes in 43 games. He is one of the smallest forwards on this roster and the physical question is the whole question — he loses the puck on the wall against men his own size and there is no obvious way to add the weight.

The Intangibles

Thirty-eighth overall in 2020 by San Jose, three seasons, and 18 points in 43 games.

A career minus-22 in 43 games. He is 22, he was born in Houston, and 27 games at fifteen minutes a night on the worst club in hockey is the audition he has been given.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He is a skilled, small centre who works below the dots and finds seams that a bigger man would not attempt; almost everything he has produced has come with the extra man.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is one of the smallest forwards on this roster and the physical question is the whole question — he loses the puck on the wall against men his own size and there is no obvious way to add the weight.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 315 minutes

Expected goals
43.3%
12th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 5 for, 18 against. Expected: 11.4 and 14.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
12th

The report ranks him 35 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 27 games

Top speed
21.5 mph
22nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.11 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
80.3 mph
20th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 315 minutes at five-on-five

  • Justin Baileyoff the roster27%
  • Filip Zadinaoff the roster20%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SJS took 40.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.3% — 2.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
315 minutes at five-on-five — 7th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nico Sturm51.6%34.6%35.8%
Mario Ferraro48.5%40.7%42.9%
Kyle Burroughs49.8%40.0%43.4%

51.6% together, 34.6% for him apart and 35.8% for Sturm apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

73 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.