Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

74

Stuart Skinner

Edmonton Oilers Goaltender

A .9134 in fifty games, from a third-round pick out of Edmonton.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21EDM110055.03038.868
2021-22EDM13660322.621367.913
2022-23EDM50291451332.7511536.913
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—64362051702.7621941.912

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

50 games, 29-14-5, .9134, 2.75, one shutout on 1,536 shots — a first season as a number one at 24.

He posted .9128 in thirteen games the year before, so the figure did not move when the workload went from thirteen games to fifty. That is the most encouraging thing on the page.

Edmonton’s goaltending graded minus-4.3, sixteenth in the league — which is to say Skinner was above the line and Jack Campbell’s .888 across 36 games was a long way below it. The club scored 325 goals and needed the help.

Three seasons, 64 games.

The Finesse Game

6-4 and 215, and the game is a conventional modern one: deep in the crease, square, big through the middle, and he lets shots from range hit him rather than reaching.

The rebound control is good and it is the reason a club that gives up as many rush chances as Edmonton could survive with him. He kills the puck rather than putting it back into the slot.

Against lateral plays and across the crease he is a step behind the best in the league, which at 6-4 is the usual trade.

The puck-handling is competent rather than a weapon.

The Intangibles

78th overall in 2017, born in Edmonton, and drafted by Edmonton — playing in the city he grew up in, which is a rarer thing than the biography usually admits.

Five seasons in the American league before a job arrived at 24. Fifty games and a .9134 is a real season and it is one season.

The club in front of him finished fifth in expected goals for and 21st on the penalty kill. Neither half of that is his, and the second half is the one that will decide how the number reads next year.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • rebound-controla strength· where the second chance ends up

    “He kills the puck rather than putting it back into the slot.”

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “deep in the crease, square, big through the middle, and he lets shots from range hit him rather than reaching”

  • lateral-recoveryhe lacks it· post-to-post, and across the slot

    “Against lateral plays and across the crease he is a step behind the best in the league, which at 6-4 is the usual trade.”