Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

72

Sergei Bobrovsky

Florida Panthers Goaltender

Two Vezinas in Columbus, four Florida seasons under .9130, and thirty-five years old.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2010-11PHI54281381302.5901527.915
2011-12PHI2914102783.020769.899
2012-13CBJ3821116742.0041084.932
2013-14CBJ58322051312.3851699.923
2014-15CBJ51301731342.6821632.918
2015-16CBJ3715191972.7511049.907
2016-17CBJ63411751272.0671854.931
2017-18CBJ65372261582.4251993.921
2018-19CBJ62372411532.5891756.913
2019-20FLA50231961513.2311505.900
2020-21FLA311982882.910935.906
2021-22FLA5439731372.6731566.912
2022-23FLA50242031453.0711466.901
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—6423602075116032.613818835.915

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24-20-3 in 50 games, .9011, 3.07, one shutout on 1,466 shots.

A .9011 is below what a first-choice goaltender is expected to give, and it is his second-worst full season. The club still finished twelfth in the league in goaltending value, which means the surplus came from the two men behind him, and both have gone.

The four Florida seasons read .8997, .9059, .9125, .9011. The eight Columbus seasons that preceded them include .9317, .9315 and .9229.

Thirteen seasons, and the decline is not a blip — it is four years long.

The Finesse Game

Florida allowed the twentieth-most expected goals per sixty at even strength, so the volume in front of him was real: 1,466 shots in fifty games is 29.3 a night.

He plays deep in the crease and relies on reading the release rather than on cutting angles, which is a style that ages with the reflexes. The book cannot measure that directly. What it can say is that the save percentage has moved one way for four seasons while the workload has not changed much.

One shutout in fifty games. He had nine in a Columbus season.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Novokuznetsk, signed by Philadelphia as a free agent out of Russia, and two Vezina Trophies later.

He was thirty-four last season and is signed for four more years, which is the contract that shapes every decision Florida makes in this crease.

A .9011 season is not a disaster on a club that generates the second-most expected goals per sixty in the league at even strength. It is also not what the club is paying for, and it has now happened four years running.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He plays deep in the crease and relies on reading the release rather than on cutting angles, which is a style that ages with the reflexes.”