Mikko Rantanen

77 points in 64 games, and the 11th percentile in shot attempts.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2015-16	COL	9	0	0	0	-7	2	0	0	0	9	0.0	8:57
2016-17	COL	75	20	18	38	-25	22	4	0	2	133	15.0	18:03
2017-18	COL	81	29	55	84	0	34	12	0	3	178	16.3	18:58
2018-19	COL	74	31	56	87	+13	54	16	0	4	193	16.1	20:51
2019-20	COL	42	19	22	41	-2	14	8	0	5	107	17.8	18:57
2020-21	COL	52	30	36	66	+30	34	9	0	7	177	17.0	19:55
2021-22	COL	75	36	56	92	+35	56	16	0	2	254	14.2	20:59
2022-23	COL	82	55	50	105	+15	82	13	0	9	306	18.0	22:13
2023-24	COL	80	42	62	104	+19	50	14	0	9	271	15.5	22:54
2024-25	COL/CAR/DAL	82	32	56	88	+13	60	11	0	6	212	15.1	21:15
2025-26	DAL	64	22	55	77	0	93	6	0	1	139	15.8	20:11
2026-27 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	716	316	466	782	+91	501	109	0	48	1979	16.0	20:24

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 55 assists in 64 games — 77 points, even in plus-minus, at 20:11 a night with 93 penalty minutes.

The Finesse Game

Enormous and skilled, which is the rarest combination in the sport. He protects the puck on the wall with his back to a defenceman and waits, and the pass that comes out of it is usually the one nobody else saw.

55 assists in 64 games is a first-line rate anywhere. The shooting has fallen off: 223 unblocked attempts, 25 goals, median 26 feet with 38 per cent inside 20 — good ice, fewer of them going in than the 316 career goals would predict.

The Physical Game

6-4, 228, and he uses it properly — 93 penalty minutes, a willingness to be unpleasant, and he is very difficult to move off a puck.

On a Dallas roster that is otherwise not heavy, he is the one who makes the top line hard to play against.

The Intangibles

The 5-on-5 numbers are strange and worth stating. He was on for exactly 51.4 per cent of the expected goals, 67th percentile — and only 45.4 per cent of the shot attempts, 14th percentile.

That is a player whose line gets badly outshot and gives up nothing dangerous, which is either excellent defensive structure or the sign of a team that survives on quality over volume. Dallas as a club was 47.5 per cent in attempts and 50.5 in expected goals, so it is systemic rather than personal.

He is 29, 782 points into 716 games, and 9 points in his last 10. He arrived here at a price that assumed 100-point player, and 77 in 64 is close enough.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live
5 of his 22 goals late or in overtime, 94th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:07 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 967 minutes

Expected goals: 51.4%; 67th pct
Shot attempts: 45.4%; 15th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 32 against. Expected: 42.4 and 40.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted

Report

95th

Numbers

67th

The report ranks him 28 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 64 games

Top speed: 22.8 mph; 80th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.17 a game
Distance: 3.05 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.1 mph; 64th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

points in his last 10 games — 2 goals, 7 assists, 14 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 967 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club: DAL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 51.4% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 967 minutes at five-on-five — 56th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Wyatt Johnston	52.1%	48.9%	49.5%
Esa Lindell	56.2%	48.5%	53.6%
Miro Heiskanen	55.2%	49.0%	53.8%

52.1% together, 48.9% for him apart and 49.5% for Johnston apart. He was worse away from Johnston, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Johnston did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

223 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 11 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.