This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Josh Doan
Buffalo Sabres Right Wing
19 points in 51 games at 23, and the second piece in the trade that sent JJ Peterka west.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | ARI | 11 | 5 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21.7 | 12:19 |
| 2024-25 | UTA | 51 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 8.0 | 13:31 |
| 2025-26 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 62 | 12 | 16 | 28 | +4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 111 | 10.8 | 13:18 |
This Season So Far
The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
7 goals and 12 assists in 51 games for 19 points, minus-2, on 13:31 a night with Utah, with 3 on the power play.
88 shots in 51 games is a reasonable rate and 8 per cent conversion is low. It was his first extended NHL work and the numbers are neither encouraging nor discouraging.
The Finesse Game
A straightforward winger who gets to the net and shoots. The release is decent without being a weapon and the hands work at NHL pace in traffic, which is the part that matters.
There is not much creation here — 12 assists — and he is not going to run a line. What he does is finish shifts in the offensive zone, which for a bottom-six winger is the job.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 198, and genuinely willing. He forechecks hard, goes into corners, and gets to the front of the net where the punishment is.
8 penalty minutes in 51 games is exceptional discipline for a player who spends that much time in traffic.
The Intangibles
The son of a franchise’s most identifiable player, drafted by that franchise, and traded out of it before his second full season. He has handled the weight of the name without any visible difficulty.
The realistic projection is a third-line winger who kills penalties. On a club that just traded a 28-goal scorer, he is the smaller half of the return and the one with the more certain floor.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
30.9% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
- disciplined· stays out of the box
0.16 penalty minutes a game over 51, 10th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it
- drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
59.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 52.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.0, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
“A straightforward winger who gets to the net and shoots.”
“There is not much creation here — 12 assists — and he is not going to run a line.”
“He forechecks hard, goes into corners, and gets to the front of the net where the punishment is.”
“He forechecks hard, goes into corners, and gets to the front of the net where the punishment is.”
“The realistic projection is a third-line winger who kills penalties.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 569 minutes
- Expected goals
- 59.2%
- 99th pct
- Shot attempts
- 58.3%
- 97th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 18 against. Expected: 25.4 and 17.5.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 33 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 51 games
- Top speed
- 22.3 mph
- 54th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 1.35 a game
- Distance
- 2.29 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 88.6 mph
- 70th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 83.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2024-25 with UTA · 569 minutes at five-on-five
- Jack McBain48%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2024-25
- The club
- UTA took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.2% — 6.0 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 569 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawson Crouse | 60.5% | 57.2% | 50.2% |
| Jack McBain | 60.2% | 58.2% | 48.8% |
| Ian Cole | 60.5% | 58.5% | 51.9% |
60.5% together, 57.2% for him apart and 50.2% for Crouse apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
139 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.