Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
46

Jonas Rondbjerg

Vegas Golden Knights Right Wing

Twenty games, no penalty minutes at all.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22VGK3024604000306.710:01
2022-23VGK13011-54000150.010:10
2023-24VGK20123+20000254.011:17
2024-25 so far
Career633710-38000704.310:27

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 games, 1 goal and 2 assists, no penalty minutes, 11:17 a night and plus-2. He took 41.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 207 minutes, the 7th percentile, and his ice went 3-2 against an expectation of 5.41-7.55.

Two goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and six goals of goaltending above them. Three goals for in 207 minutes of five-on-five hockey is the smallest total on the club and the sample is a quarter of a season.

The Finesse Game

28 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 50 per cent of them from inside twenty and 18 per cent from beyond forty, 24 of those on goal, converted at 4.0 per cent against a career 4.29 across 70 shots.

Three career goals and 7 assists in 63 games. Half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and 24 of the 28 reached the goaltender, which is a very accurate shooter with nothing at all to show for it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 206 and took no penalty minutes in 20 games.

Eight career penalty minutes in 63 games. He is a reasonable size and forechecks without ever fouling anybody; sixty-three games of NHL hockey for eight penalty minutes is either remarkable discipline or a fourth-liner who does not engage.

The Intangibles

Sixty-fifth overall in 2017 by Vegas, three seasons, one organisation, and 10 points in 63 games.

A career minus-3 in 63 games. He is Danish, he was a third-round pick, and he has played 63 NHL games in three seasons without ever holding a place for a full one.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 207 minutes

Expected goals
41.7%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.7%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 3 for, 2 against. Expected: 5.4 and 7.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
62nd
Numbers
8th

The report ranks him 54 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 207 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
VGK took 51.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 41.7% — 9.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
207 minutes at five-on-five — 1st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brett Howden52.2%35.4%44.9%
Brayden McNabb33.5%45.5%53.0%
Alec Martinez46.9%38.9%47.0%

52.2% together, 35.4% for him apart and 44.9% for Howden apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

28 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 8 feet. 50% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.