Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jake Sanderson

Photo by Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jake Sanderson

Ottawa Senators Defense #85

24 minutes and 50 seconds a night, and 54 points.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23OTT7742832-6122001323.021:55
2023-24OTT79102838+8233031586.323:13
2024-25OTT80114657-14125041955.624:27
2025-26OTT67144054+1685031479.524:50
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—30339142181+455150106326.223:34

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14 goals and 40 assists in 67 games — 54 points, plus-16, at 24:50 a night, the heaviest workload on the club. 15 games missed.

The Finesse Game

The skating is exceptional and it is the reason a defenceman plays 25 minutes at 23. He carries the puck out under pressure, joins as a fourth attacker, and gets back before the play turns.

14 goals from the blue line is a top-5 figure at the position: 238 unblocked attempts, median 48 feet, and he gets them through.

40 assists in 67 games is a first-pair rate.

The Physical Game

6-2, 202, and he defends with skating and stick. 8 penalty minutes in 67 games of the hardest minutes on a first-place defensive team, which is one of the most impressive discipline numbers in this book.

He is never beaten badly enough to have to foul.

The Intangibles

55.9 per cent of the expected goals, 91st percentile, and 55.8 per cent of the shot attempts, 92nd, with the chances 49.6 to 39.1 in his favour.

The goals went 52-40, which on this club is a good outcome — Ottawa’s goaltending cost 33.

8 points in his last 10. He is 23, the fifth pick in 2020, and already one of the 10 best defencemen in the league by the underlying numbers. Nobody outside Ontario talks about him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.12 penalty minutes a game over 67, 1st percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,166 minutes

Expected goals
55.9%
92nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
55.8%
92nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 40 against. Expected: 49.6 and 39.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
89th
Numbers
92nd

The two rank him within 3 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 67 games

Top speed
24.4 mph
100th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
3.04 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.47 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
99.7 mph
96th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 5 assists, 28 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1166 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
OTT took 54.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.9% — 1.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,166 minutes at five-on-five — 79th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Artem Zub54.4%60.3%48.2%
Michael Amadio53.7%57.3%51.0%
Shane Pinto55.7%55.9%52.4%

54.4% together, 60.3% for him apart and 48.2% for Zub apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Zub behind.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 14 of them goals. His median goal came from 33 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 67% from beyond forty.