Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jake Oettinger

Photo by All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars Goaltender #29

A career .910, a season at .899, and a finish at .876.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21DAL291187632.361710.911
2021-22DAL48301511142.5311331.914
2022-23DAL623711111442.3751776.919
2023-24DAL54351441402.7231476.905
2024-25DAL58361841472.5921611.909
2025-26DAL54351261382.5941372.899
2026-27 so far——————————
Career—30518478337462.54168276.910

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

54 appearances, 35-12-6, a 2.59 goals-against average and a .8994 save percentage with 4 shutouts. His career figure across 305 games is .9099, so this was 10 thousandths below his own standard.

The Physical Game

6-6 and 225, and he plays the position the way the size suggests — deep, square, patient, letting the puck come to him. Against a Dallas defence that funnels shots to the outside, that is close to the ideal pairing.

The athleticism is better than the frame implies. He is quick across the crease for a man this large, and the rebound control is good.

The Mental Game

35 wins and a reputation as a big-game goaltender, built on a genuine history of it. Nothing about him suggests a player who wilts.

Which makes the last stretch worth flagging: .876 on 217 shots over his last 10 appearances, while DeSmith behind him finished the season at .9066 across 30 games — better than the starter, on the same defence.

The Intangibles

Dallas finished 7th in the league in even-strength expected goals against and its goaltending came in 6 goals better than the chances faced. That is a good number and it is a long way below what a .910 career goaltender would normally add.

He is 27 and this was, by his standards, a mediocre season that a 35-win record concealed entirely. The club is built to win in the spring and the man in net finished the regular season stopping .876.

That is the single most important thing on this club’s page, and nobody looking at the standings would see it.

The numbers underneath

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

.884

save percentage over his last 8, on 181 shots · .888 across these 20

Each bar is one appearance, taller being a better save percentage. Filled bars are .920 or better.