Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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50

Ivan Prosvetov

Colorado Avalanche Goaltender

Thirteen NHL games in three years and a save percentage that has never reached .890.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21ARI301094.15051.824
2021-22ARI3021134.220104.875
2022-23ARI7430283.980234.880
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—13461504.070389.872

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 games with Arizona, 4-3-0, .8803, 3.98 — the best of his three partial seasons and still well below what a backup needs.

The career reads 3, 3 and 7 games at .8235, .8750 and .8803 on 234 shots last year. Thirteen NHL appearances at 24, and the sample is too small to conclude anything except that nothing has gone right yet.

The Finesse Game

6-5 and 195, which is the reason he keeps getting looks: he takes up more of the net standing still than almost anyone.

The size is not yet organised. He is upright and reaches for pucks rather than moving to them, and against lateral plays the recovery is a step behind. That is a coachable problem at 24 and a fatal one at 28.

The Intangibles

114th overall in 2018, out of the USHL, and a Russian goaltender who came to North America at eighteen rather than staying in the KHL.

Colorado brought him in to back up Georgiev, which means the plan is 15 to 20 games behind one of the best defensive clubs in the West. That is about as favourable a setting as a goaltender with his record could ask for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • lateral-recoveryhe lacks it· post-to-post, and across the slot

    “He is upright and reaches for pucks rather than moving to them, and against lateral plays the recovery is a step behind.”