Ivan Ivan

An undrafted 23-year-old Czech who played 40 NHL games and looked like he belonged in about 30 of them.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI
2024-25	COL	40	5	3	8	-9	8	2	0	0	34	14.7	10:02
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	40	5	3	8	-9	8	2	0	0	34	14.7	10:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 3 assists in 40 games for 8 points, minus-9, on 10:02 a night — his first NHL season.

49.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 49th percentile, in the smallest role on the roster. His on-ice goals were 12-14 against an expected 11-11, so both ends ran hot: a 40-game sample in fourth-line minutes says very little either way.

The Finesse Game

A centre who works. The skating is quick enough for a bottom-six job and the puck skills are tidier than a fourth-liner’s usually are — 52 per cent of his shots came from inside 20 feet, which for a rookie in these minutes means he is getting to the middle rather than hanging on the wall.

5 goals on 34 shots is a small enough sample to mean nothing. The shot itself is ordinary.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 190, and willing without being heavy. He finishes checks, supports the puck, and does not get pushed off it, but there is no physical edge here that will win him minutes.

8 penalty minutes over 40 games. Nothing careless.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of the Czech league, an AHL season, and 40 NHL games at 23 — a career that only happens to players who are difficult to send down.

The realistic projection is a fourth-line centre, and the realistic risk is that a contending club has no room for a 23-year-old learning the job. He needs an injury or a trade to get a real season.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
30% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 5th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He finishes checks, supports the puck, and does not get pushed off it”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“there is no physical edge here that will win him minutes”
undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached
“Undrafted out of the Czech league, an AHL season, and 40 NHL games at 23 — a career that only happens to players who are difficult to send down.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 363 minutes

Expected goals: 49.7%; 49th pct
Shot attempts: 51.9%; 72nd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 14 against. Expected: 11.0 and 11.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

36th

Numbers

49th

The two rank him within 13 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 40 games

Top speed: 23.0 mph; 83rd pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 2.13 a game
Distance: 1.68 miles a game
Hardest shot: 79.3 mph; 17th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 363 minutes at five-on-five

Joel Kiviranta29%
Logan O'Connor26%
Nikolai Kovalenkooff the roster21%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: COL took 53.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.7% — 3.5 below the club he did it on.
The role: 363 minutes at five-on-five — 9th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Samuel Girard	50.8%	48.9%	53.1%
Sam Malinski	52.5%	48.3%	49.6%
Calvin de Haan	45.7%	51.5%	50.7%

50.8% together, 48.9% for him apart and 53.1% for Girard apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

48 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 52% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.