Fredrik Olofsson
Colorado Avalanche Left Wing
Twenty-eight NHL games at 27, and the 2nd percentile in distance covered.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | DAL | 28 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2.9 | 10:12 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 28 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2.9 | 10:12 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
1 goal and 3 assists in 28 games for Dallas, even, 10:12 a night — his first NHL games at the age of 26.
52.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 283 minutes, the 70th percentile, with his ice at 8-8 against an expectation of 10.04-9.11. On 283 minutes there is nothing to conclude.
Twenty-eight career games. He was drafted in 2014 and did not play in the NHL until 2022.
The Finesse Game
34 shots at a median of 22 feet, 37 per cent from inside twenty.
Inside forty: 25 shots, one goal. Beyond forty: 8 shots, none.
87.8 mph at the 29th percentile. There is no evidence of an offensive game at this level and 34 shots is not enough to look for one.
The Physical Game
6-2 and 190. 21.6 mph at the 16th percentile and 1.61 miles a game at the 2nd — the lowest mileage figure of any skater in this chapter.
That is a ten-minute fourth-liner’s number and it should be read as ice time first. The 16th-percentile top speed is harder to explain away, and for a bottom-six forward without size it is the thing standing in the way.
2 penalty minutes in 28 games.
The Intangibles
98th overall in 2014 to Chicago, out of Nebraska-Omaha, and five seasons in the American league and in Sweden before Dallas gave him twenty-eight games.
Colorado signed him as depth. He is 27, and the honest reading of a first NHL season at 26 is that this is the level rather than a step towards one.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 283 minutes
- Expected goals
- 52.4%
- 70th pct
- Shot attempts
- 54.6%
- 88th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 8 for, 8 against. Expected: 10.0 and 9.1.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 69 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 47 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 28 games
- Top speed
- 21.6 mph
- 26th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.86 a game
- Distance
- 1.61 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 87.8 mph
- 54th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 with DAL · 283 minutes at five-on-five
- Radek Faksa64%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- DAL took 52.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.4% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 283 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Radek Faksa | 60.9% | 41.5% | 49.6% |
| Esa Lindell | 50.6% | 53.6% | 50.1% |
| Luke Glendening | 49.8% | 54.0% | 43.9% |
60.9% together, 41.5% for him apart and 49.6% for Faksa apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
43 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 7 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.