Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
6

Erik Johnson

Philadelphia Flyers Defense

First overall in 2006, 987 games, and a Stanley Cup at 34.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2007-08STL6952833-9284031054.818:11
2009-10STL79102939+1796021865.421:27
2010-11STL/COL7782129-13563121615.022:49
2011-12COL7342226-7261011552.620:50
2012-13COL31044-318000640.020:45
2013-14COL8093039+5612021575.723:00
2014-15COL47121123+23330211510.424:25
2015-16COL73111627-19503201756.323:27
2016-17COL4621517-69001962.122:05
2017-18COL6291625+3580031685.425:26
2018-19COL8071825+8380011444.921:49
2019-20COL5931316+920001993.021:03
2020-21COL4011+2200050.013:26
2021-22COL7781725+22240111395.817:17
2022-23COL63088+812000980.017:15
2023-24BUF/PHI67516-1426001608.314:28
2024-25 so far
Career98793250343-115402242019274.820:52

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

67 games for Buffalo and Philadelphia, 5 goals and 1 assist for 6 points, 26 penalty minutes, 14:28 a night and minus-14, with 1 game-winner. He took 46.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 807 minutes, the 30th percentile, and his ice went 28-44 against an expectation of 32.38-36.83.

Four goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and seven more conceded than they called for. One assist in 67 games, from a defenceman with 250 of them in his career.

The Finesse Game

76 attempts at a median of 50 feet with 64 per cent of them from beyond forty, 60 of those on goal, converted at 8.3 per cent against a career 4.83 across 1,927 shots.

250 career assists in 987 games and 22 career power-play goals. He put up 39 points twice and 33 once for Colorado and St Louis and ran a first power-play unit for the better part of a decade; five goals and one assist at 35 is what is left of it.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 225 and took 26 penalty minutes.

540 career penalty minutes in 987 games. He is very large and still finishes checks, clears his crease and defends the front of the net; the skating has gone and everything that depends on closing a gap has gone with it, which is what the 30th percentile says.

The Intangibles

First overall in 2006 by St Louis, sixteen seasons, four organisations, 343 points in 987 games and a Stanley Cup in Colorado.

He played 25:26 a night in a season and is down to 14:28. Sixteen seasons and 987 games from a first-overall pick who spent most of them on bad clubs, and a Cup at 34 at the end of it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 807 minutes

Expected goals
46.8%
31st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.3%
38th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 44 against. Expected: 32.4 and 36.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
19th
Numbers
31st

The two rank him within 12 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 518 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with BUF · 540 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.8% — 5.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
807 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor Clifton37.8%50.0%48.9%
Egor Zamula43.5%47.5%50.3%
Peyton Krebs48.6%46.3%46.9%

37.8% together, 50.0% for him apart and 48.9% for Clifton apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

76 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 9% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 64% from beyond forty.