Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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61

Cutter Gauthier

Anaheim Ducks Left Wing

20 goals in his first full season at 21, on 190 shots and fourteen minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2023-24ANA1011+1000030.015:24
2024-25ANA82202444+82020319010.514:09
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—83202545+92020319310.414:10

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 24 assists in 82 games for 44 points, plus-8, on 14:09 a night — 82 games and a plus rating in a rookie season on a club that conceded 263 goals.

46.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 20th percentile, which is the whole roster’s number rather than his. 190 shots is the more interesting figure: only Frank Vatrano took more, and Gauthier did it in three fewer minutes a night.

The Finesse Game

A shooter, and a genuine one. The release is heavy and fast off the pass and he is willing to use it from anywhere, which is why a rookie in bottom-six minutes took 190 shots. 10.5 per cent conversion is unremarkable and will improve as the locations do — a third of his attempts came from beyond 30 feet.

The passing is the weaker half and always has been. 24 assists is honest, and the offence he creates is largely his own; he is not the man who makes a line work.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 205, and he goes to the net without hesitation. He is not a forechecking force yet but he takes the punishment that comes with shooting from inside the dots.

20 penalty minutes across 82 games. The durability was perfect in a first season, which is a real thing to note about a 21-year-old.

The Intangibles

A 5th overall pick who refused to sign with the club that drafted him and forced a trade here, which produced a great deal of noise and no evidence of a problem since.

20 goals as a 21-year-old rookie is the third-best mark in the organisation’s history for that age. The realistic projection is a 30-goal winger; the realistic risk is that a pure shooter on a club with no power play stays a 20-goal one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    31.1% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    4 of his 20 goals late or in overtime, 93rd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “he goes to the net without hesitation”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing is the weaker half and always has been. 24 assists is honest, and the offence he creates is largely his own; he is not the man who makes a line work.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He is not a forechecking force yet”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 982 minutes

Expected goals
46%
20th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 35 against. Expected: 38.7 and 45.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
72nd
Numbers
20th

The report ranks him 52 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
23.4 mph
95th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.44 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.37 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.2 mph
92nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 982 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
ANA took 44.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.0% — 1.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 982 minutes at five-on-five — 58th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mason McTavish44.9%47.0%44.0%
Robby Fabbri41.6%48.9%37.6%
Radko Gudas44.3%46.7%47.0%

44.9% together, 47.0% for him apart and 44.0% for McTavish apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

299 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 27 feet. 21% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.