Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

41

Craig Anderson

Buffalo Sabres Goaltender

Forty-one years old, 683 NHL games, 308 wins, and 31 starts on a club whose crease finished 28th in the league.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2002-03CHI6030184.000125.856
2003-04CHI216140572.841602.905
2005-06CHI296124863.321757.886
2006-07FLA511182.210116.931
2007-08FLA17861352.252535.935
2008-09FLA311575742.713977.924
2009-10COL71382571862.6372233.917
2010-11COL/OTT51242041352.8321546.913
2011-12OTT63332261652.8331917.914
2012-13OTT241292401.693677.941
2013-14OTT53251681503.0041680.911
2014-15OTT3514138872.4931134.923
2015-16OTT60312351612.7841915.916
2016-17OTT4025114922.2851247.926
2017-18OTT58232561803.3221768.898
2018-19OTT50172741633.5121676.903
2019-20OTT34111721003.2501018.902
2020-21WSH421062.13071.915
2021-22BUF3117122973.120945.897
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—6833082646918402.854220939.912

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

31 games, 17-12-2, an .8974 save percentage and a 3.12 goals-against average, on 945 shots faced — 30 a night.

Seventeen wins at forty. Buffalo won 32 games in total.

The club’s goaltending finished 26.5 goals worse than the chances it faced, 28th in the league, behind a defence that allowed 2.674 expected goals against per 60 at even strength — 22nd. Both halves of that are bad and the crease is the worse of the two.

Six goaltenders dressed here last season. Dustin Tokarski played 29 games and has gone to Pittsburgh, Aaron Dell 12 and has gone to San Jose, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen 9, Malcolm Subban 4 and Michael Houser 2.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 187, and light for a modern goaltender. He has always been a reactive, athletic goaltender rather than a positional one, which is a style that ages badly and has aged better here than anybody expected.

His career line across 683 games is a .9121 with 42 shutouts, and the .8974 is a long way below it.

The Mental Game

Twenty professional seasons and 683 NHL games, on a roster whose average age is twenty-five. Buffalo signed him at thirty-nine to be the adult in a room of twenty-two-year-olds and got seventeen wins as well.

Thirty starts at forty behind a defence that conceded 290 goals is a specific kind of assignment, and there is no sensible way to grade it. He kept showing up, which was the point.

The Intangibles

Seventy-third overall in 2001 by Chicago, and a career across Chicago, Florida, Colorado, Ottawa, Washington and Buffalo, with 308 wins and a run to a conference final in Ottawa at thirty-six.

He is 41, re-signed for one more year. He is here to hand the net to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen or Eric Comrie at some point this season, and everybody including him knows it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “Twenty professional seasons and 683 NHL games, on a roster whose average age is twenty-five”