Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

46

Blake Lizotte

Pittsburgh Penguins Center

Undrafted, 5-9 and 176 pounds, and 11 goals on 51 shots at a 21.6 per cent conversion.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19LAK1000-1000010.011:12
2019-20LAK6561723-420220876.913:58
2020-21LAK413710+216000427.112:42
2021-22LAK70101424+15280129111.012:10
2022-23LAK81112334+117000110810.212:57
2023-24LAK627815+1120022769.211:49
2024-25PIT5911920-4261115121.612:43
2025-26 so far
Career3794878126+3018036645610.512:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 9 assists in 59 games — 20 points at 12:43 a night, minus-4, with 26 penalty minutes and a shorthanded goal.

42.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 6th percentile — the worst mark on the roster. His ice went 18-29 against an expectation of 18.24-25.02, which is a fourth line getting badly outplayed and then outscored on top of it.

The Finesse Game

11 goals on 51 shots is a 21.6 per cent conversion, which is the highest of anybody in this chapter and will not happen again — his career high before last season was 8.

The hands are ordinary. He is a north-south player who forechecks and gets to the net, and 9 assists in 59 games is the honest measure of the playmaking.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 176 pounds and he hits everybody. He forechecks first, he finishes checks on men fifty pounds heavier, and he is genuinely irritating to play against.

26 penalty minutes in 59 games. A share of it is the second penalty in a sequence and he does not back out of anything, which at that size is either brave or the only way he stays employed.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of St. Cloud State, and 379 NHL games later across two organisations.

He is 27. A fourth-line centre with a 42.2 per cent chance share is a problem, and the goals were the reason nobody said so last season.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 662 minutes

Expected goals
42.2%
6th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.6%
21st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 18 for, 29 against. Expected: 18.2 and 25.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
49th
Numbers
6th

The report ranks him 43 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 662 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PIT took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.2% — 6.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 662 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Noel Acciari39.6%47.2%46.4%
Erik Karlsson38.9%44.2%49.5%
Kris Letang44.6%41.0%47.7%

39.6% together, 47.2% for him apart and 46.4% for Acciari apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

76 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 24 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.