Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

34

Alex Lyon

Detroit Red Wings Goaltender

Undrafted, thirty-nine games in six seasons, and then forty-four in one at exactly his career rate.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2017-18PHI11421222.750232.905
2018-19PHI201065.08031.806
2019-20PHI311083.55073.890
2020-21PHI6131183.330169.893
2021-22CAR210162.93065.908
2022-23FLA15942432.891488.912
2023-24DET44211851273.0521325.904
2024-25 so far——————————
Career—833729102303.0532383.903

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Forty-four games, 21-18-5, a .9042 save percentage, a 3.05 average and 2 shutouts on 1,325 shots.

He had played 39 games in six seasons before this one. A .9042 behind the 27th-ranked chance suppression in hockey is a respectable season and it is almost exactly his career .9035 across 83 games — which is to say he did what he has always done, for the first time at volume.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 199 and plays deep and square rather than aggressively. He is not big for a modern goaltender and the game depends on being in the right place early rather than on covering ground late.

The rebound control is the weakness, and on a club that concedes from the slot it is the wrong weakness to have. Against a clean shot from the perimeter he is reliable; against the second one he is not.

The Mental Game

Twenty-one wins on a club that won forty-one, at 31, in a first real season. Whatever else is true of him, six years of waiting did not leave a mark on the numbers when the chance came.

He has now been a starter for four months of his life. There is no evidence either way about what a second season of it does.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Baudette, Minnesota, three years at Yale, and a career that took him through Philadelphia, Carolina and Florida before anybody gave him a net.

Detroit has signed Cam Talbot. The most likely outcome of last season is that it was the best year of his career and he goes back to being a backup, which is not a criticism of a man who was never given anything.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-deepa strength· takes the net away by occupying it

    “He is 6-1 and 199 and plays deep and square rather than aggressively.”

  • rebound-controlhe lacks it· where the second chance ends up

    “The rebound control is the weakness, and on a club that concedes from the slot it is the wrong weakness to have.”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Baudette, Minnesota, three years at Yale, and a career that took him through Philadelphia, Carolina and Florida before anybody gave him a net.”