Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

34

Alex Lyon

Buffalo Sabres Goaltender

An .8965 in 30 games at 32, brought in to make sure the club has a second goaltender it can play.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2017-18PHI11421222.750232.905
2018-19PHI201065.08031.806
2019-20PHI311083.55073.890
2020-21PHI6131183.330169.893
2021-22CAR210162.93065.908
2022-23FLA15942432.891488.912
2023-24DET44211851273.0521325.904
2024-25DET301491732.811705.896
2025-26 so far——————————
Career—1135138113032.9943088.902

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

14-9-1 in 30 games, .8965 with a 2.81 average and 1 shutout on 705 shots with Detroit.

An .8965 is a below-average number and it was better than either goaltender Buffalo used. That is the reason he was signed.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 199, which is small for the modern position, and the game compensates with aggression rather than technique — he challenges further out than most, cuts down angles, and lives with the consequences on a lateral play.

The rebound control is adequate and the recovery is quick. He is at his best in a run of games where he can find rhythm, and at his worst cold.

The Mental Game

Undrafted, ten years of being told he was a minor-league goaltender, and a playoff run in Florida that made him briefly famous. He does not appear to be affected by anything.

The most reliable thing about him is that a bad night does not become a bad month, which is the actual skill required of a backup.

The Intangibles

At 32, on a cheap deal, doing the job he is suited to.

Buffalo’s goaltending was 26th in the league and the club’s answer was a backup who has never had a save percentage above .910 in a full season. That is a modest answer to a large problem, and it is not clear the organisation has another one.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • plays-aggressivea strength· meets the shooter at the top of the crease

    “he challenges further out than most, cuts down angles, and lives with the consequences on a lateral play”

  • rebound-controlpresent and ordinary· where the second chance ends up

    “The rebound control is adequate”

  • lateral-recoverya strength· post-to-post, and across the slot

    “the recovery is quick”

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, ten years of being told he was a minor-league goaltender, and a playoff run in Florida that made him briefly famous.”