Armchair Hockey Scout

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2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Shayne Gostisbehere

Photo by TheAHL, CC BY 2.0

Shayne Gostisbehere

Carolina Hurricanes Defense #4

50 points in 55 games from the second pair, at 33.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15PHI2000-2000020.012:34
2015-16PHI64172946+82480515211.220:05
2016-17PHI7673239-21322011983.519:36
2017-18PHI78135265+10257022215.921:27
2018-19PHI7892837-20224021805.019:40
2019-20PHI425712-420101736.918:18
2020-21PHI4191120-265008510.619:56
2021-22ARI82143751-23262021519.322:11
2022-23ARI/CAR75132841-5325221558.420:49
2023-24DET81104656-16162021397.219:05
2024-25CAR7073845+1524001225.718:31
2025-26CAR55133750+112260111611.219:14
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—744117345462-632774621815947.319:59

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

13 goals and 37 assists in 55 games — 50 points, plus-11, at 19:14 a night with 6 power-play goals. 27 games missed.

The Finesse Game

Still one of the better offensive defencemen in the league and it is all in the hands and the head. He walks the line, changes the angle, and finds the seam pass that most defencemen do not look for.

The shot is a genuine weapon from distance: 194 unblocked attempts, 69 per cent from beyond 40 feet, median 48, and 13 went in. He gets it through and he gets it on net, which at that range is the whole trick.

50 points in 55 games is a first-pair rate produced from a second pair.

The Physical Game

5-11, 183, and it is the reason he has been traded 5 times. 22 penalty minutes. He cannot defend the front of his net and gets moved out of the way by anyone who wants to be there.

The club hides him carefully and it works, most of the time.

The Intangibles

58.4 per cent of the expected goals — 98th percentile — and 59.9 per cent of the shot attempts, 98th, across 834 minutes.

He is 33, 744 games and 462 points into a career that has been written off repeatedly. 8 points in his last 10.

The playoff question attaches to him more than to anyone here. A small offensive defenceman on a club that wants to control the puck is a wonderful regular-season asset. In a tight series he is the man the other team goes looking for.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    69% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 99th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 834 minutes

Expected goals
58.4%
98th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
59.9%
98th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 35 against. Expected: 45.3 and 32.3.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
38th
Numbers
98th
Blind
33rd

The numbers rank him 60 points above where the report does. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

The same player was graded a second time from his biography and his box score alone, with the measured record withheld. That reading lands 65 points from the numbers; this one lands 60. Across the whole control the two distances come out the same, which is worth knowing in both directions: the arithmetic on both sides of the sighted reading did not buy it any accuracy, and it did not cost it any either.

All three bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 55 games

Top speed
21.7 mph
52nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.22 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.76 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.0 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 88.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

8

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 5 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 834 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
CAR took 55.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.4% — 2.7 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 834 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexander Nikishin59.7%57.5%52.7%
Logan Stankoven61.8%56.7%57.8%
Jackson Blake60.6%57.3%57.0%

59.7% together, 57.5% for him apart and 52.7% for Nikishin apart. Nikishin was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Nikishin than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

194 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 13 of them goals. His median goal came from 36 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.