Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Oliver Kapanen

Photo by Kaiser matias, CC BY-SA 4.0

Oliver Kapanen

Montréal Canadiens Center #91

A second-round Finn who scored 22 goals as a rookie and did most of it beside the best young playmaker on the team.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25MTL18022-52000160.010:53
2025-26MTL82221537+42211213116.814:28
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—100221739-12411214715.013:49

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

22 goals and 37 points in all 82 games, plus-4, on 14 and a half minutes a night with almost no power-play time. He played 78 percent of his 5-on-5 minutes with Demidov.

The Finesse Game

The finishing is the strength. 22 goals on 131 shots is a high conversion rate, and it comes from getting to the inner slot rather than from a heavy release — he arrives at the net, finds the space between defenders, and puts the rebound in.

He is a complementary player rather than a creator, which the linemate percentage makes clear. What he does well is move to open ice and finish what somebody else made, and he does it more reliably than most rookies.

The skating is fine. He is not fast enough to beat defencemen wide and not slow enough for it to matter.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 194, and he is willing along the wall without winning many battles outright. He plays a responsible game away from the puck, which is why he stayed in the lineup all season as a rookie.

The Intangibles

He took the long route through Finland rather than being rushed, arrived at 22, and produced immediately.

The honest question is how much of the 22 goals travels if he is separated from Demidov. The answer is probably not all of it, and a player who finishes this well will find another line.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 968 minutes

Expected goals
45.7%
20th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
43%
5th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 51 for, 48 against. Expected: 40.6 and 48.2.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
78th
Numbers
20th

The report ranks him 58 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 77 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
60th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.55 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.25 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.5 mph
74th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

4

points in his last 10 games — 3 goals, 1 assists, 17 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 968 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
MTL took 49.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.7% — 4.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 968 minutes at five-on-five — 57th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ivan Demidov48.6%34.1%55.4%
Juraj Slafkovský47.0%44.6%52.9%
Lane Hutson47.2%44.4%58.9%

48.6% together, 34.1% for him apart and 55.4% for Demidov apart. He was the one being carried: the share went with Demidov and did not follow him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

197 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 23 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 46% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.