Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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31

Martin Jones

Seattle Kraken Goaltender

Four straight seasons below .9010 after three straight above .9110, across 10,924 career shots.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2013-14LAK191260331.814500.934
2014-15LAK15452292.243307.905
2015-16SJS65372341432.2761734.917
2016-17SJS65352361522.4021725.912
2017-18SJS60302261452.5541699.915
2018-19SJS62361951762.9431699.896
2019-20SJS41172121183.0021139.896
2020-21SJS34151341023.281980.896
2021-22PHI35121831143.4201141.900
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—3961981503210122.682510924.907

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 games for Philadelphia, 12-18-3, a .9001 save percentage and a 3.42 goals-against, no shutouts on 1,141 shots. That is 40th of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games. Undrafted, and 396 NHL games, 198 wins and twenty-five shutouts across nine seasons out of it.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 203 pounds, and 32 years old with 10,924 career shots behind him — more than any goaltender in this batch of four clubs.

The career divides cleanly at 2018. His first three full seasons in San Jose: .9175, .9119, .9147, on 1,734, 1,725 and 1,699 shots. The four since: .8964, .8964, .8959, .9001.

Four consecutive years below .9010, after three consecutive years above .9110. That is not a slump and it is not one bad season — it is a hundred and fifty points of decline sustained across 4,959 shots.

Career .9074 across 10,924 shots, which the second half has pulled down from what the first half established.

The Mental Game

Philadelphia rated 19th in the league in goaltending at minus-7.2, and Carter Hart took forty-five games at .9049 — 34th of the same 53 — so both halves of that crease were below average and neither was a disaster.

He is joining a club whose goaltending rated 31st at minus-36.0. Philipp Grubauer produced .8891 in fifty-five games, the worst figure of the fifty-three.

And the skaters in front of him will be the 3rd-best chance-suppressing group in the league. That is the most favourable structure Jones has worked behind since San Jose’s good years, and it is the single reason to expect a better number than .9001.

The Intangibles

Nothing in the file speaks to technique, rebound control or how a ninth season changes what a goaltender can reach.

What it measures is 10,924 shots, which is an enormous body of evidence, and a clean four-year break inside it.

Two goaltenders whose last full seasons were .8891 and .9001, in front of the 3rd-best defensive structure in hockey. That is the whole of Seattle’s crease and it is the reason a club with a top-three chance-suppression rate finished 29th.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, and 396 NHL games, 198 wins and twenty-five shutouts across nine seasons out of it.”