Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

27

Gustav Lindstrom

Montreal Canadiens Defense

Eighteen shots on goal in thirty-six games, and two goals in a 128-game career.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20DET16011-61400090.016:32
2020-21DET13033+1000080.016:07
2021-22DET6311213-1222000412.416:07
2022-23DET36178-1620000185.614:10
2023-24 so far—————————————
Career—12822325-3356000762.615:37

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 7 assists in 36 games — 8 points — with Detroit, at 14:10 a night. Minus-16, 18 shots, 20 penalty minutes.

Minus-16 in thirty-six games is a rate that would have produced a minus-36 across a season.

42.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 9th percentile, with his ice at 14-30 against an expectation of 15.95-21.75 — eight goals worse at the defensive end than the chances deserved, behind a Detroit club that finished twenty-eighth in goaltending value.

Four seasons, 128 games, 25 points, and two goals.

The Finesse Game

18 shots in thirty-six games at a median of 50 feet, 14 per cent from inside twenty and 72 per cent from beyond forty.

Beyond forty: 13 shots on goal and no goals. Inside forty: 4 shots, 1 goal.

Eighteen shots on goal across thirty-six games is the lowest volume of any defenceman in these five chapters by a distance. He does not shoot and he does not join the rush.

85.2 mph at the 13th percentile, on five slap shots.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 194, and 20 penalty minutes.

Top speed 22.2 mph, the 45th percentile; bursts 0.3 a game, the 13th; 2.12 miles a game, the 21st.

He defends by staying in position and does not take the body. At 194 pounds there is not much else available, and the 9th-percentile chance share on a Detroit third pair is the result.

55.7 per cent of his five-on-five shifts started in the attacking zone, the 76th percentile — a soft share, which makes the number worse rather than better.

The Intangibles

Thirty-eighth overall in 2017 to Detroit, four seasons producing 128 games, and Montreal is the second organisation.

He is twenty-four with two career goals and a 9th-percentile chance share, on a club that has six other defencemen in this book. The honest reading is a seventh defenceman, and Montreal acquired him for very little.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “He defends by staying in position and does not take the body.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 503 minutes

Expected goals
42.3%
9th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
24th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 30 against. Expected: 15.9 and 21.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
7th
Numbers
9th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 54 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 36 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
74th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.5

Bursts over 20 mph
0.31 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.12 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.2 mph
19th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 90.0

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2022-23 with DET · 503 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
DET took 46.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.3% — 3.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 503 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Robert Hagg47.7%36.1%43.7%
Joe Veleno40.0%43.1%46.4%
David Perron38.3%43.9%51.4%

47.7% together, 36.1% for him apart and 43.7% for Hagg apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

29 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 4 feet. 14% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.