Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
20

Eeli Tolvanen

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

23 goals on 137 shots at fourteen minutes a night, and the worst on-ice goals-against gap among the club's forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18NSH30000000030.012:07
2018-19NSH4112+20000250.013:16
2020-21NSH40111122-1046046516.914:48
2021-22NSH75111223-7161011517.313:26
2022-23NSH/SEA61181331+81440411615.514:31
2023-24SEA81162541-152410315310.515:39
2024-25SEA81231235+32320313716.814:19
2025-26 so far
Career3458074154-19811401562712.814:30

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 goals and 12 assists in 81 games — 35 points at 14:19 a night, plus-3, with 3 game-winners on 137 shots.

45.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 18th percentile. His ice went 41-52 against an expectation of 35.35-41.82 — six goals better than expected for and ten worse against, which is the largest defensive gap of any forward on the club.

The Finesse Game

137 attempts at a median of 33 feet with 30 per cent from inside 20 and 30 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 16.8 per cent — the third-highest rate on the roster.

The shot is the whole player and it is a good one: a quick, heavy release from the top of the circle that does not need much time. 12 assists in 81 games is the other half of the sentence, and it is why he plays fourteen minutes rather than eighteen.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 182 and he plays honestly without being physical. He forechecks and he does not finish many checks, and he will not win a puck against a defenceman on the wall.

23 penalty minutes in 81 games. He is disciplined and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Thirtieth overall in 2017 and a player Nashville gave up on entirely — he was placed on waivers in 2022 and Seattle claimed him.

345 games and 154 points, and 23, 16 and 23 goals in three seasons since the claim. He is 26 and the waiver claim is among the best pieces of business this organisation has done.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,000 minutes

Expected goals
45.8%
18th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.7%
22nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 52 against. Expected: 35.4 and 41.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
18th

The two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1000 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
SEA took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.8% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,000 minutes at five-on-five — 61st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Shane Wright44.5%46.8%44.8%
Oliver Bjorkstrand46.1%45.7%51.1%
Adam Larsson41.6%48.4%47.4%

44.5% together, 46.8% for him apart and 44.8% for Wright apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

210 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 24 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.