Arthur Kaliyev
New York Rangers Right Wing
The 98th percentile of chances in Los Angeles, and fifteen points to show for it.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | LAK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0 | 14:42 |
| 2021-22 | LAK | 80 | 14 | 13 | 27 | -3 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 194 | 7.2 | 12:39 |
| 2022-23 | LAK | 56 | 13 | 15 | 28 | -5 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 10.7 | 11:41 |
| 2023-24 | LAK | 51 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 101 | 6.9 | 11:48 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 188 | 35 | 36 | 71 | -12 | 63 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 418 | 8.4 | 12:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
51 games in Los Angeles, 7 goals and 8 assists for 15 points, 3 on the power play, 14 penalty minutes, 11:48 a night and minus-3. He took 59.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 536 minutes, the 98th percentile, and his ice went 21-23 against an expectation of 28.64-19.24, all of it with the Kings.
Eight goals of scoring that did not arrive and four more conceded than the chances called for. A 98th-percentile chance share that produced fifteen points is the widest gap between play and result anywhere in this chapter.
The Finesse Game
101 shots at a median of 33 feet with 31 per cent from beyond 40, converted at 6.9 per cent against a career 8.37.
36 career assists in 188 games. The shot is the reason he was drafted and it is a genuine professional weapon — 17 career power-play goals in 188 games says so. Seven goals on a hundred and one shots at even strength is not the shot; it is where he takes them from.
The Physical Game
He is 6-2 and 212 and does not use any of it.
63 career penalty minutes in 188 games is a low rate. He does not forecheck, does not win the wall, and the skating is the reason he has never held a top-six job.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick in 2019 out of Tashkent, four seasons across two organisations, and 71 points in 188 games.
He is 23 and has a legitimate power-play shot and nothing else. On a club whose power play was eighth with Kreider and Zibanejad already on it, there is not an obvious place for him.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 536 minutes
- Expected goals
- 59.8%
- 98th pct
- Shot attempts
- 57.7%
- 96th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 23 against. Expected: 28.6 and 19.2.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 74 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 60 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with LAK · 536 minutes at five-on-five
- Pierre-Luc Duboisnow WSH35%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- LAK took 54.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 59.8% — 5.7 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 536 minutes at five-on-five — 20th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 62.8% | 58.0% | 50.9% |
| Andreas Englund | 57.1% | 61.2% | 50.3% |
| Matt Roy | 64.9% | 57.3% | 53.8% |
62.8% together, 58.0% for him apart and 50.9% for Dubois apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
154 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.