Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
38

Owen Pickering

Pittsburgh Penguins Defense

Six-foot-five and 21 years old, and 96 per cent of his shot attempts came from beyond 40 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2024-25PIT25123-56000156.714:49
2025-26 so far
Career25123-56000156.714:49

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 2 assists in 25 games — 3 points at 14:49 a night, minus-5, with 6 penalty minutes. They were his first NHL games.

50.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 55th percentile, across 336 minutes. His ice went 20-17 against an expectation of 12.67-12.54, which on a sample that small is not evidence of anything.

The Finesse Game

15 attempts in 25 games at a median of 61 feet with 96 per cent of them from beyond 40 feet — the most extreme perimeter profile in this edition. He shoots from the blue line and nowhere else.

The skating for a man this size is the reason he was a first-round pick, and the puck movement is unfinished. He makes the simple pass and he has not yet had to make a hard one under an NHL forecheck for a full season.

The Physical Game

6-5 and 206 and still filling out. He has the reach to defend the rush without contact and the frame to clear a crease once there is more weight on it.

6 penalty minutes in 25 games. The physical game is a projection rather than a fact at this stage.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2022 and 25 NHL games in at 21, after two full American League seasons.

He is the best defensive prospect the organisation has and the blue line ahead of him is 35, 38, 30 and 30. The path is not blocked for long.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 336 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.2%
56th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 17 against. Expected: 12.7 and 12.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
56th

The numbers rank him 39 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 336 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PIT took 49.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 1.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
336 minutes at five-on-five — 8th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Drew O'Connor54.8%48.4%50.3%
Michael Bunting42.3%52.9%52.1%
Kris Letang46.1%51.5%47.4%

54.8% together, 48.4% for him apart and 50.3% for O'Connor apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

27 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 61 feet. 0% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 96% from beyond forty.