Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

32

Kevin Lankinen

Nashville Predators Goaltender

The 51st-best save percentage of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games, arriving as the backup.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2020-21CHI37171451093.0121204.909
2021-22CHI3281561063.500973.891
2022-23 so far——————————
Career—692529112153.2322177.901

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

32 games for Chicago, 8-15-6, a .8911 save percentage and a 3.50 goals-against, no shutouts on 973 shots. That is 51st of the 53 goaltenders who played twenty-five games — third from the bottom, ahead of only Thomas Greiss and Philipp Grubauer.

Undrafted out of Finland, and sixty-nine NHL games out of it by 27.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 190 pounds, which is ordinary for the position and three inches taller than the man he is backing up.

The two-season record is short and it points down. .9095 across 1,204 shots in 2020-21 and .8911 across 973 in 2021-22. Career .9012 on 2,177 shots.

A hundred and eighty-four points of save percentage lost in one year is a large move on a small sample, and 2,177 career shots is not enough to say which of the two figures is the man.

The Mental Game

The club in front of him was genuinely poor. Chicago finished 29th in attempt share, 29th in chances and 32nd in expected goals per 60 at even strength — the worst chance-creation rate in the league.

Its goaltending rated 27th at minus-24.9 goals saved below expectation, so the crease was not blameless either, and Marc-Andre Fleury shared it at .9082 before being traded.

A .8911 behind the 32nd-ranked offence and the 16th-ranked defensive rate is not a clean read on anybody, and this report will not pretend the number is entirely his or entirely the club’s.

The Intangibles

He is 27 and arrives to play perhaps fifteen games behind a goaltender who played sixty-seven. Nashville’s problem is not that its starter needs replacing; it is that its starter faced more shots last season than every goaltender in the league except Connor Hellebuyck.

Nothing here measures technique, temperament or how he handles a bad night. What it measures is a save percentage third from the bottom of the league, behind the worst chance-creation rate in it, and a career of 2,177 shots that is too short to settle the question either way.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted out of Finland, and sixty-nine NHL games out of it by 27.”