Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
78

TJ Brodie

Chicago Blackhawks Defense

Signed at 34 to make the first pass, having just posted the best chance share of any defenceman on this roster — in Toronto.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11CGY3000-3200010.016:00
2011-12CGY5421214+314102444.516:29
2012-13CGY4721214-98000444.520:13
2013-14CGY81427310201021043.924:04
2014-15CGY81113041+15303131338.325:12
2015-16CGY7063945+418201797.625:16
2016-17CGY8263036-1624112787.723:35
2017-18CGY7342832-16181001183.423:41
2018-19CGY7992534+29241111028.821:28
2019-20CGY6441519+736001656.220:27
2020-21TOR5611314+2312000482.121:33
2021-22TOR8242428+2034000685.921:19
2022-23TOR5821214+1014000583.521:13
2023-24TOR7812526+1740000521.921:43
2024-25 so far
Career90856292348+84294103129945.622:14

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Seventy-eight games in Toronto, 1 goal and 25 assists, 21:43 a night and plus-17. He took 50.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,445 minutes, the 54th percentile, and his ice went 67-55 against an expectation of 62.19-61.69.

That is an average share and a very good result, which is the shape of most of his fourteen seasons. He arrives in Chicago as the only defenceman on the roster who has recently played on the right side of the puck, and the club is paying for the habit rather than the ceiling.

The Finesse Game

His first pass is early and to the correct side of the ice. There is no hesitation in it and no wasted turn, and 292 career assists across 908 games have been built almost entirely on getting the puck moving north before the forecheck arrives.

He took 52 shots all season and 1 went in. Eight per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet and 69 per cent from beyond 40 — this is a man who shoots because the play requires a shot, not because he wants one.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 187 and defends by arriving first rather than by arriving hard. Forty penalty minutes in 78 games is a moderate rate and most of it is a stick.

He does not win the wall against heavy forwards and never has. The defending is anticipation, angle and an early stick, and at 34 there is no reason to expect anything else to appear.

The Intangibles

Fourteen seasons, 908 games, a fourth-round pick who became a top-pair defenceman in Calgary and then a reliable one in Toronto. He has played 22:14 a night across his whole career and has never been the problem on a blue line.

On a club with a nineteen-year-old and a twenty-year-old on the left side, a man who makes the correct simple play every night is worth more than the points suggest.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,445 minutes

Expected goals
50.2%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.1%
55th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 67 for, 55 against. Expected: 62.2 and 61.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
7th
Numbers
54th

The numbers rank him 47 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 53 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with TOR · 1445 minutes at five-on-five

  • Morgan Rielly55%
  • Timothy Liljegren12%
  • Jake McCabe11%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.2% — 1.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,445 minutes at five-on-five — 96th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Morgan Rielly50.0%50.5%51.1%
Auston Matthews54.0%48.1%57.6%
Tyler Bertuzzi54.5%48.3%57.5%

50.0% together, 50.5% for him apart and 51.1% for Rielly apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

72 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 59 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.