Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
26

Jarred Tinordi

Chicago Blackhawks Defense

Six-foot-six, 229 pounds, and the 4th percentile in expected-goal share.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13MTL8022+5200050.011:43
2013-14MTL22022-240000100.014:32
2014-15MTL13022-51900050.012:04
2015-16MTL/ARI10000-51700030.014:18
2019-20NSH28145-134000205.016:37
2020-21NSH/BOS21011-611000300.017:06
2021-22NYR7101-57001520.012:51
2022-23CHI44268-1740001326.316:27
2023-24 so far
Career15341721-361700021103.615:22

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 6 assists in 44 games — 8 points at 16:27 a night, minus-17, with 40 penalty minutes.

39.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 644 minutes, the 4th percentile. His ice went 16-35 against an expectation of 18.13-27.37 — eight goals worse than the chances predicted at the defensive end, which is the goaltending again.

He has played 153 NHL games across eight seasons, which is the file: a first-round pick who has never held a job.

The Finesse Game

32 attempts at a median of 54 feet, 77 per cent from beyond forty. One goal on 22 shots from out there and one from inside twenty on three attempts.

4 goals and 21 points in 153 career games at a 3.64 per cent shooting rate. There is no finesse game to grade and the club has never asked for one.

The Physical Game

6-6 and 229, and the size is the entire reason he has a career. He is 21.3 mph at the 9th percentile and 2.26 miles a game at the 29th, so he is neither fast nor a big mover.

40 penalty minutes in 44 games. He cannot be shifted from in front of his own net, and on a club conceding 301 goals that was worth a regular shift.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall by Montreal in 2010, the son of a long-serving NHL defenceman, and eight seasons of being the seventh man.

He is 31 with 153 games behind him. On a club rebuilding around a first overall pick, a 31-year-old third-pair defenceman is a placeholder and everyone involved knows it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    31% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 1st percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • hard-to-movea strength· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “He cannot be shifted from in front of his own net”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 644 minutes

Expected goals
39.9%
4th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
40.2%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 16 for, 35 against. Expected: 18.1 and 27.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
4th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 141 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 51 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2022-23 · 644 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2022-23

The club
CHI took 42.4% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 39.9% — 2.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 644 minutes at five-on-five — 26th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Connor Murphy39.9%39.7%42.9%
Taylor Raddysh48.9%35.7%45.1%
Philipp Kurashev40.2%39.7%41.9%

39.9% together, 39.7% for him apart and 42.9% for Murphy apart. Murphy was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

48 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 46 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 77% from beyond forty.