Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
11

Jakob Pelletier

Tampa Bay Lightning Left Wing

Nineteen points in 49 games across two clubs, from a first-round pick on his third organisation at 24.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23CGY24347-52201486.314:11
2023-24CGY13123+12001911.19:16
2024-25CGY/PHI4971219+7100015413.011:33
2025-26 so far
Career86111829+3142031119.911:56

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 12 assists in 49 games across Calgary and Philadelphia — 19 points at 11:33 a night, plus-7, with a game-winner and 10 penalty minutes.

Nineteen points at under twelve minutes a night is a respectable rate and the season was split by a trade. He has 86 career NHL games in four seasons.

The Finesse Game

54 attempts and 7 goals at 13.0 per cent. The shot is ordinary.

The passing and the puck handling in a small space are why he was a first-round pick, and 12 assists in 49 games is the sort of number that suggests there is more here than the ice time allows.

The Physical Game

5-10 and 172 and among the lightest forwards in this chapter. He does not win pucks against defencemen and he is not going to.

10 penalty minutes in 49 games. He competes hard for the size, he goes to the areas that hurt, and there is no second answer when he is out-muscled there.

The Intangibles

Twenty-sixth overall in 2019, and he lost most of the 2023-24 season to a shoulder injury that required surgery at the point his career was about to start.

86 games and 29 points across three organisations. He is 24 and Tampa Bay signed him in the summer, which is a club with a very good record of finding this exact player.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 486 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
56th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
65th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 28 against. Expected: 18.1 and 17.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
36th
Numbers
56th

The numbers rank him 20 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with CGY · 266 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
PHI took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 1.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
486 minutes at five-on-five — 15th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Yegor Sharangovich53.5%48.9%47.2%
Ryan Poehling58.2%47.1%50.9%
Brayden Pachal44.9%52.0%47.2%

53.5% together, 48.9% for him apart and 47.2% for Sharangovich apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

70 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 44% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.