Armchair Hockey Scout Beta
24

Jake Bean

Calgary Flames Defense

7 points in 64 games, a 47.7 per cent chance share, and a puck-moving defenceman who has stopped moving pucks.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2018-19CAR20000200010.08:28
2020-21CAR4211112-210100551.814:32
2021-22CBJ6771825-526002907.820:34
2022-23CBJ14156-26000166.315:42
2023-24CBJ724913-1032000765.316:20
2024-25CGY6425708000712.815:05
2025-26 so far
Career261154863-19841023094.916:44

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

2 goals and 5 assists in 64 games for 7 points, even, on 15:05 a night.

47.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 29th percentile, over 892 minutes. 71 shots and 2 goals, and 7 points in 64 games is the lowest production of any defenceman on the roster who played more than 50.

The Finesse Game

He was a first-round pick for an offensive game that has never appeared. 7 points in a full season at 15 minutes a night is not a slump — it is his third consecutive season in that neighbourhood.

The skating is fine and the first pass is adequate. There is nothing here that a club could build a power play or a breakout around, which was the entire premise.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 191, and light. He does not clear a net front, does not win board battles, and defends with position rather than with anything else.

8 penalty minutes over 64 games. He is not involved enough to take them.

The Intangibles

A 13th overall pick, three organisations, and eight professional seasons without establishing what he is for.

At 27 the projection is a seventh defenceman. The offensive tools that made him a first-rounder have not translated in any environment he has been placed in.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 892 minutes

Expected goals
47.7%
29th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
77th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 25 for, 33 against. Expected: 32.6 and 35.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
6th
Numbers
29th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 892 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.7% — 1.0 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 892 minutes at five-on-five — 44th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brayden Pachal47.0%48.9%47.0%
Nazem Kadri49.7%46.8%49.2%
Jonathan Huberdeau50.0%46.7%51.0%

47.0% together, 48.9% for him apart and 47.0% for Pachal apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

109 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 59 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 66% from beyond forty.